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I dunno, Yamaha seem to be on the losing end when it comes to the rear tire, Jorge has either had a bad strategy like Sepang or Sachsenring last year, and many other examples, or his tires just have not lasted (effectively) as long as the Honda's. I happen to think this is partially due to that Lorenzo rides the edge of his tire better and can therefor put more energy in to that part of the compound.
Given how Lorenzo+Yamaha have had better results in colder/less grippy conditions, I have to think Honda will have the tire longevity to put at least one bike on the podium, especially if the temperatures are warmer.