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TalentFan

May 24, 2013 1:27 PM

WSBK » WSBK Donington: Haslam 'aiming to ride' in home race


Have to say good luck to Leon. Racers really are a special breed apart from the rest of us. That's a badly broken leg, and he's put himself through hell to pass the medical and he'll still go race at pace that even a properly quick road rider or even or club racer would shake their head at in wonder. My guess is Leon is looking to get points and hold his season together and cement his credentials to remain in WSBK as a rider in demand. He's not had things go his way really - and this leg break at the season start with a new team is just what he didn't need. I can't see him on the podium - that's the stuff of Disney movies surely. But bringing it home safely with some half-decent results would be just the ticket.

TalentFan

May 24, 2013 1:14 PM

MOTOGP » Edwards goes 'old school' with no TC


When CE went CRT I thought that - with his vast experience and having been highly valued for his feedback with Michelin and teams over the years etc that Colin would be the benchmark in CRT. Instead, he has seemed to really struggle. There's lot of theories for sure, and yes he's not a young gun, but the BMW didn't move forward and got spanked by the Kawas last year (when everyone was saying how rubbish the Kawas were pre-season). Thing is - Colin still seems to be all at sea this season too. Is it Colin, or is it the bike / electronics / geek input / other?

TalentFan

May 22, 2013 2:05 PM

MOTOGP » Le Mans: Dovizioso 'so happy' after strong race


@ Codger "Ducati must have learnt a lot from Rossi & JB last year, as even negatives can point you in the right way" Hmm - not sure we can credit VR & JB with too much given its the Factory Engineers & Designers who develop the kit. But input is input I guess. Agree that NH is the benchmark as he's the Constant at Ducati through the Stoner, Rossi and Dovi tenures. So far NH couldn't live with CS, was pretty much there with VR, and its close-ish and too early to say really where Dovi is concerned. I reckon NH is better than people think - its just CS's unreal talent on a bike no-one else could master that made people think otherwise. I think had NH's input been listened to a lot more than just VR & JB its possible that Ducati would have made more progress, and NH's results could've been more favourable too through 2011 & 2012.

TalentFan

May 22, 2013 12:44 PM

MOTOGP » Le Mans: Dovizioso 'so happy' after strong race


You do need a good amount of data though - if you look at the numbers, then actually Rossi's results from 3 early races v Dovi's are much better than his overall stats - simply as it includes a close 2nd place that is much better than his typical performance. As I say - to really see if Ducati do make progress you'll need the full years stats to get a meaningful answer (unless the have a sudden 'Eureka' breakthrough in the bike and the results get significantly and obviously much better).

TalentFan

May 22, 2013 12:38 PM

MOTOGP » Le Mans: Dovizioso 'so happy' after strong race


@ Codger "I believe that you should have factored in the winners time at each race compared to last year. If each winner was faster or slower it will skew your results." We know stats never tell the whole story. However, I didn't do as you suggest cos a) I really couldn't be bothered to go that far, and b) the other variables in the races such as conditions and the relative competitiveness cannot be controlled I still think as an overall guideline though it is a better tool to measure relative performance than finishing position - as one week there might be 5 guys going v well, and only 2 the next, plus mistakes / crashes etc. Best to compare the performance in overall time lost against the rider who did the job best I think - the winner and regardless of overall race time (as the conditions that made the winner faster or slower will be the same for the rider being looked at every time). What do you think? Is this a 'fair' comparison test?

TalentFan

May 22, 2013 10:21 AM

MOTOGP » Le Mans: Dovizioso 'so happy' after strong race


Cont... Just cos I was doing the above anyway...... Using the same system, Rossi's stats come out as below. Note I ignored Laguna Seca as VR was Unclassified there, and in the 2 events where he was lapped I used the Gap to winner posted by the last unlapped rider ahead of VR - so if anything the average figures are marginally better than reality in favour of Rossi: Season Average Finish Pos (where Classified): 7.11 Season Average Gap in Seconds to Winner: 35.09

TalentFan

May 22, 2013 9:58 AM
Last Edited 2 days ago

MOTOGP » Le Mans: Dovizioso 'so happy' after strong race


Ok. I just put my Nerdy head on and ran some numbers from the 3 GPs so far in 2013 that ran in 2012 (Qatar, Jerez, Le Mans), and compared the stats for Rossi and Dovi as above: Rossi Finish positions 10th, 9th, 2nd (Av Fin Pos 7th) Dovi's Finish positions 7th, 8th, 4th (Av Fin Pos 6.3rd) Av Gap to Winner Rossi: 26.140 seconds Av gap to Winner Dovi: 25.441 seconds Basically, there's nothing in it. About the only conclusion this very limited data suggests is that Dovi on the Ducati is doing as well (or very slightly better) than Rossi was so far. No year-on-year comparison can be perfect I think, but this is about the best and most fair I could think of. I'd say that this is a pretty fair 'test' though to gauge relative performance.

TalentFan

May 22, 2013 9:36 AM

MOTOGP » Le Mans: Dovizioso 'so happy' after strong race


I haven't done the exercise, so honestly don't know the outcome. As I've said though, I feel the best indicator of performance and competitiveness isn't necessarily finsihing position, but the overall race duration margin between the winner and the rider/bike in question. To weed out the anomalies and get an "average perfomance indicator" then separate Wet & Dry races. Then add all the margins together and divide by the number to get an average figure for Wet & Dry. It might be educational to then compare the resulting Wet Race and Dry Race values between VR's 2012 rides, and Dovi's 2013 rides on the same bike. It should give a pretty fair and accurate indicator of relative performance and whether or not there's any progress.

TalentFan

May 22, 2013 9:23 AM

MOTOGP » Michael Laverty - Q&A


Good interview from Michael Laverty. You can see the guy has self-belief but he's not cocky and knows he's got to work for everything he gets. IMO he's done really well so far, and it'd be nice to see ML and the PBM1 develop, improve and move forward. I always keep an eye out on the screen for Laverty's position and keep track of how he's doing - even though he's not going to be seen on screen for more than a second or two. I wish him good luck and success for the rest of the season. If (IF) he can attain the target of running close or with the Aspar bikes I think there's ll be a few eyebrows raised in the Paddock!


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