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Personally, i think the dude has talent and can win the title if he has a consistent year. First we need to see how he adapts to the Aprilia. Remember, he jump from one Ducati to another in 2012 so the transition was easy enough...he did pretty good on the Suzuki but shined on the ducati... so it really depends if he gels with the Aprilia...
I hope he will be on the pace and in every round. However to be honest, I am backing Sykes!! but if Guinters win... I will not be mad, the dude has been working his butt off to show he is worthy of this ride!! and possibly the title! i guess that is true of all these great competitors!