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Nah, Eugene should grab the win if he can keep his tires like Max did last year. I think Aprilia are banking on Eugene, Eugene put in the best time on a race tire, and hes been going on about 'race pace.' As good as Carlos is around PI, that Aprilia had some AWESOME pace last year around the island.
wouldnt be surprised to see #84 fighting with Guintoli for 3rd spot on the podium. Sykes injury and apparent lack of speed seem to imply a damage limitation weekend. Will be interesting to see how the tires pan out for both WSBK and WSS.